Preliminary results from Hungary: Tisza leads decisively, Orbán could lose power after 16 years
A separate post-election projection cited by the Reuters agency after the polling stations closed estimates as many as 135 seats for Tisza, which would mean a constitutional two-thirds majority (133 seats). If this estimate were to be confirmed, Magyar would gain a mandate to change the constitution, which Orbán significantly adapted to suit his party during his years in power. However, vote counting is still ongoing and the final results may differ from the projections. HN online ↗
Election day was accompanied by record turnout, which according to media outlets surpassed all previous parliamentary elections in Hungary, including 1990, when the country voted for the first time after the fall of communism. Already two hours before the polling stations closed, more than two-thirds of eligible voters had cast their ballots. Aktuality.sk ↗
After the polling stations closed, Magyar declared that Hungary "is writing history" and expressed cautious optimism. He urged his supporters to remain calm and patient while waiting for the results. At the same time, he raised accusations against the ruling party — according to Magyar, Fidesz attempted to manipulate the electoral process. Interez.sk ↗
On the other side, the head of Orbán's cabinet, Gergely Gulyás, expressed confidence in a Fidesz victory and interpreted the record turnout as a result of the ruling party's mobilization. However, analyst Mujtaba Rahman of the Eurasia Group stated that, in his estimate, Tisza is heading toward a strong parliamentary majority, with the only remaining question, in his view, being whether it will also achieve a constitutional two-thirds majority. Pravda.sk ↗
The course of the elections was disrupted by bomb threats in the cities of Pécs and Miskolc, where voting had to be temporarily halted and security forces had to intervene. Civic initiatives monitoring the elections also reported suspicions of manipulation — busing voters to polling stations and distributing packages. TASR ↗ TA3 ↗
Security experts have warned that Russian intelligence services interfered in Hungary's pre-election campaign through disinformation campaigns and coordinated information operations on social media. According to analysts, the greatest risk of destabilization looms precisely after the results are announced, when the losing party could challenge their legitimacy. TA3 ↗
If the ongoing trend is confirmed, Hungary faces a fundamental change in political direction. During the campaign, Magyar promised to fight corruption, reform the judiciary, and return to closer cooperation with the European Union. However, analysts point out that, in their view, Orbán has built mechanisms to retain influence even in the event of defeat — from filling key institutions with loyal people to legislative safeguards built into the constitution. SITA ↗
On Record
„vissza fogják hívni"
Orbán tvrdí, že ho voliči neskôr opäť zavolajú do politiky.
„Elnézést kell kérnem önöktől, az országot felforgató miniszterelnök a mi soraink közül jött."
Na letnej univerzite Tusványos v Tusnádfürdő, kde po historickej porážke Fideszu ohlásil „politiku odporu" proti novej vláde.
„Nevzdávam sa, nikdy, nikdy, nikdy."
Na sobotnom zjazde Fideszu po volebnej prehre, kde ho strana bez protikandidáta znovuzvolila za predsedu.
„Prvú bitku sme vyhrali."
Tlačová konferencia po summite EÚ v Bruseli
„Maďarská pozícia je veľmi jednoduchá. Sme pripravení podporiť Ukrajinu, keď dostaneme našu ropu, ktorú blokujú."
Pred summitom EÚ v Bruseli o vete voči 90 mld. EUR pôžičke pre Ukrajinu
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