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Russian Gas Was Supposed to Disappear from the EU — Before the Ban, Its Share Hit a Record. Hungary's Portfolio Uncovers a Paradox That Also Concerns Fico

Russian Gas Was Supposed to Disappear from the EU — Before the Ban, Its Share Hit a Record. Hungary's Portfolio Uncovers a Paradox That Also Concerns Fico

The Union set itself a legal deadline for ridding itself of Russian gas — and precisely in the period before the first ban, its share of imports rose. According to the Hungarian economic portal Portfolio, Russian liquefied natural gas (LNG) reached a record 17.3 percent of the value of LNG imports into the European Union in the first quarter of 2026, even though the first ban on short-term LNG contracts has already been in effect since April 25. This is of double interest to Slovak and Hungarian readers: it is precisely Bratislava and Budapest that have announced lawsuits against that same regulation.
Key actors — tap for context

What Portfolio Shows

The portal draws on Eurostat data and highlights a movement that runs counter to the declared policy. While for the whole of 2025 Russian LNG accounted for an average of 13.9 percent of the value of liquefied natural gas imports, in the first quarter of 2026 it was 17.3 percent — according to Portfolio, "the largest shift in the entire quarterly database." Portfolio (HU) ↗

The Hungarian portal is not alone in this data. The Brussels think tank Bruegel calculated that the Union imported approximately 6.8 billion cubic meters of Russian LNG in the first quarter of 2026, roughly a fifth more year-on-year. Bruegel ↗ An analysis by the organization Urgewald, based on tracking of ships by Kpler, adds that 97 percent of shipments from the Arctic Yamal project went to the Union, and that the EU paid an estimated 2.88 billion euros for it. Urgewald and Kpler ↗

Part of this increase can be explained by stockpiling ahead of the April ban and by the price spike from the Middle East crisis. After attacks on Qatari LNG and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the European benchmark price TTF jumped from around 35 euros per megawatt-hour in January and February to nearly 53 euros in March. France, Spain, and Belgium purchased the most Russian LNG. bne IntelliNews ↗

How This Differs from Slovak Coverage

During June, Slovak and Czech media covered the gas topic mainly through three angles: the lawsuit by the owner of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline against the ban, the risk that LNG will replace one dependency with another, and the search for alternative routes for Slovakia. What was left aside was precisely the striking detail on which Portfolio builds its case: just before the ban, Russian gas was not disappearing from the market — it was returning.

For Slovakia, that statistic is not neutral. Both Bratislava and Budapest are among the last countries that still receive Russian gas by pipeline via TurkStream, and the regulation requires them to submit diversification plans. Prime Minister Robert Fico announced that Slovakia will challenge the ban at the Court of Justice of the EU and will seek a postponement of its effect — according to him, the regulation "violates the fundamental principles of the EU treaties" and should have required unanimous approval. Courthouse News ↗ Hungary argues similarly: if the ban is "essentially" a sanction, it must be approved by every member state. The figures compiled by Portfolio can be read as supporting the argument that both governments are using politically — that the market is not weaning itself off Russian gas as quickly as the declaration suggests. EU Council ↗

Limits of This View

Portfolio is a respected Hungarian economic portal with an emphasis on data rather than politics — and that is also its weakness. The 17.3 percent share is calculated from import value, which was inflated in March by the price spike, so part of the "record" is higher prices, not necessarily a proportionally larger volume. Bruegel does confirm the physical increase, but the portal does not place it in a broader framework. It does not mention that the main buyers are Western European countries, nor that Hungary itself and neighboring Slovakia are among those most holding back the shift away from Russian gas. The paradox of "goodbye on paper, more in practice" is accurate, but incomplete: it shows the result and stays silent about one of its co-authors.

What hotinfo Is Watching

  • Whether, after the expiration of short-term contracts (LNG ban from April 25), the Russian share falls in the second quarter, or whether stockpiling merely shifted purchases in time
  • The verdict of the Court of Justice of the EU on the Slovak and Hungarian lawsuits and on the request for a postponement of the regulation's effect
  • The deadline of September 30, 2027 for pipeline gas under long-term contracts, and whether storage fill levels push it back to November 1, 2027
  • Whether the drop in the TTF price after the Hormuz situation calmed down will also be reflected in Russian LNG statistics

On Record

Robert Fico
Robert Fico Predseda vlády Slovenskej republiky
05.09.2026
„Rozpočet je však spoločnou zodpovednosťou Smeru, Hlasu, SNS a skupiny nezávislých poslancov okolo ministra Huliaka."

Video na sociálnej sieti o zodpovednosti koalície za štátny rozpočet na rok 2027.

Robert Fico
Robert Fico Predseda vlády SR
28.08.2026
„Zajtra sa začnú zahrievať prvé pece."

Premiér počas návštevy hlinikárne Slovalco v Žiari nad Hronom, kde vláda mala výjazdové rokovanie.

Robert Fico
Robert Fico Predseda vlády SR
24.08.2026
„Očakávam, že vzhľadom na obsah kritiky tohto konsolidačného opatrenia bude zrušenie takzvanej transakčnej dane viesť k nebývalému hospodárskemu rastu Slovenskej republiky."

Premiér po rokovaní o príprave štátneho rozpočtu na rok 2027, keď oznámil, že požiadal ministra financií o prípravu zrušenia transakčnej dane od 1. januára 2027.

Robert Fico
Robert Fico Predseda vlády SR
17.08.2026
„V prípade atómových elektrární na Slovensku, aj v Jaslovských Bohuniciach, aj v Mochovciach, máme chladiace veže. To je to, čo nás odlišuje od atómových elektrární, ktoré vidíme v Maďarsku alebo ktoré vidíme napríklad v Rumunsku."

Reakcia na odstavenie jadrových elektrární v Rumunsku a Maďarsku pre rekordne nízku hladinu Dunaja. Slovenské elektrárne používajú uzavretý chladiaci okruh s vežami, ktorý potrebuje násobne menej vody než priame chladenie z rieky.

👤
Robert Fico Premiér Slovenska
28.07.2026
„vyriešenú vec"

Vyjadrenie k povinnosti vyrovnaných rozpočtov

👤
Robert Fico Premiér Slovenska
05.06.2026
„Nie sme fackovací panák."

Reakcia na kritiku ekonomického balíka.

Geographic locations

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Bratislava, Borinka, Bratislavský kraj, 900 32, Slovensko
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Location: Brussels
Bruxelles - Brussel, Brussel-Hoofdstad - Bruxelles-Capitale, Région de Bruxelles-Capitale - Brussels Hoofdstedelijk Gewest, België / Belgique / Belgien
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Location: France
Economy & Business World Energy 👤 bruselský 👤 Robert Fico 📍 bratislava 📍 brusel 📍 francúzsko 📍 hormuzský prieliv 📍 portfolia 📍 slovensko 📍 španielsko 🏢 bruegel 🏢 jamal 🏢 nord stream 2 🏢 portfolio 🏢 urgewald
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