The first opinion poll after the first round of the Brazilian presidential election gives Flávio Bolsonaro a lead over incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. 52 percent of respondents would vote for the right-wing senator, while Lula received the support of 48 percent of respondents. El Pais ↗
The poll also showed that five percent of voters plan to cast a blank or invalid vote. Only one percent of respondents remain undecided, suggesting a high degree of voter polarization ahead of the second round. El Mundo ↗
Flávio Bolsonaro advanced to the decisive phase of the election after winning the first round, in which he overtook Lula despite pre-election forecasts favoring the left-wing president. The second round will take place on October 25. However, the poll result represents only an initial measurement of sentiment after the first round, and the lead could be affected by the further course of the campaign. France24 ↗
Flávio also received support from Augusto Cury, who finished third in the first round. His decision could be significant in winning over voters who supported other candidates in the first round. Both main rivals will now seek to persuade undecided voters and some supporters of unsuccessful candidates. Tagesspiegel ↗
The contest between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula is thus entering a phase in which the mobilization of their own camps, the acquisition of new support, and the stance of voters considering an invalid or blank vote will be decisive.
Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula ahead of the second round
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