Renewed war in Tigray and the alliance against Abiy

Tigrayan forces seized the airport in Mekelle and are fighting in Afar, and the 2022 Pretoria Agreement has collapsed. We are watching whether the fighting turns into full-scale war and whether Eritrea joins in.

Loosely tracking high priority

2/6 fulfilled ⏳ 4 pending tracking since 23.9.2026 check by 23.11.2026

The article that started it

Vedenie Tigraja ohlásilo novú vojnu s etiópskou vládou. Tigrajské sily obsadili letisko v Mekele, proti premiérovi Abiymu sa spojili aj bývalí nepriatelia

Tigrajské sily prevzali letisko v Mekele a bojujú v Afare. Mier z Pretórie sa rozpadá, proti Abiymu sa spojili aj bývalí nepriatelia.

23.9.2026

What we are still watching

The Eritrean army joined the fighting directly.
The alliance opened a front outside the north of the country, especially in Oromia.
The African Union or another mediator convened ceasefire talks.
Ethiopian Airlines resumed flights to Mekelle.

What has happened

The federal army launched a large-scale ground offensive into Tigray. Vlastný článok 4.10.2026: vládne sily vstúpili do Mekele (humanitárne zdroje a miestny novinár pre AFP), oficiálne potvrdenie chýba. → Do hlavného mesta Tigraja vstúpili vojská, hlásia svedkovia. Etiópska vláda to nepotvrdila a vodca frontu sľubuje ďalšie údery 4.10.2026
TPLF spustil ofenzívu proti federálnej armáde v Afare a Amhare a obsadil letiská v Tigraji vrátane Mekele El País 23.9.2026: ofenzívu spustil TPLF, nie federálna armáda — obrátené oproti pôvodnému očakávaniu indikátora 3099. → La guerra civil vuelve a estallar en Etiopía (El Pais) 23.9.2026

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Renewed war in Tigray and the alliance against Abiy

The article that started it

What we are still watching

What has happened

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