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The AfD after the Erfurt congress — a strengthened Weidel and the autumn state elections
The AfD congress in Erfurt (July 4–5, 2026) confirmed Weidel (81.31%) and Chrupalla (70.05%), with power shifting to Weidel. We are tracking whether she converts it into results in the autumn state elections, and the fate of Höcke's proposed incompatibility list.
Loosely tracking
2/6 fulfilled
⏳ 4 pending tracking since 5.7.2026
check by 5.12.2026
The article that started it
Vedie prieskumy, no vládnuť s ňou nikto nechce. Zjazd AfD v Erfurte blokovalo 31-tisíc demonštrantov
Tajné hlasovanie na zjazde AfD v Erfurte ukázalo, že moc sa presúva k Weidelovej. Sprevádzalo ho 31-tisíc protestujúcich a súdny spor o…
5.7.2026
What we are still watching
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⏳
The fate of Höcke's proposal: does the leadership put forward a revised incompatibility list by summer 2027, or does the request quietly fade?
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The appeal or precedent in the dispute over the assembly ban (Thuringia's higher administrative court, file 3 EO 283/26).
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Does Weidel's strengthened position translate into changes in the Bundestag parliamentary group leadership, or a weakening of Chrupalla's internal powers?
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How the dispute over classifying the AfD as "confirmed right-wing extremist" develops (the main proceedings at the Cologne administrative court).
What has happened
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The results of the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt (September 6) and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (September 20) — does a strengthened Weidel convert internal dominance into an electoral result? Sasko-Anhaltsko (6.9.2026): AfD jasne vyhrala, CDU utrpela porážku, BSW sa dostala do zemského snemu — prvé krajinské voľby, kde AfD dominovala takto výrazne. Pokryli sme tromi vlastnými článkami (#1471218 predvolebný, #1473520 výsledok, #1475112 rozbor). ⚠️ Druhá polovica pôvodného znenia — Meklenbursko-Predpomoransko 20.9.2026 — je stále pred nami a dostala vlastný indikátor, aby checklist neukazoval hotovú vec ako nedokončenú. → AfD jasne vyhrala voľby v Sasku-Anhaltsku, CDU utrpela porážku 6.9.2026
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Výsledok krajinských volieb v Meklenbursku-Predpomoransku 20.9.2026 — potvrdí sa trend zo Saska-Anhaltska? Voľby 20.9.2026: AfD v Meklenbursku-Prednom Pomoransku zvíťazila so ziskom 37–38 % (prvé prognózy, ORF/Le Figaro), Merz označil výsledok CDU za katastrofu a prevzal zaň zodpovednosť. Trend zo Saska-Anhaltska sa teda potvrdil. V paralelných berlínskych voľbách naopak vyhrala Die Linke (24,5–26 %) a AfD skončila tretia s 13,5–16 % (#1550081) — východonemecký vzorec na Berlín neplatí. → AfD vyhrala v Meklenbursku, Merz označil výsledok za katastrofu 20.9.2026
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